Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 95.7%
Previsores
29
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 29 minutos
23/03/23, 06:05 UTC31/12/30, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will AI be able to accurately predict natural disasters with a week's notice by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be able to accurately do my taxes by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn mid 2027 will ai tools be able to accurately fill in new doctor onboarding forms?
Manifold MarketsIn 2030, which of the following prompts will an AI be able to accurately follow to generate a high-quality movie?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegras
GPT-4 still firmly believes all amounts of lead and feathers weigh the same if expressed in kilograms:
- [image]Resolves YES if GPT-5 gives the correct answer the first 5 times I ask.