Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 65.9%
Previsores
49
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 horas
Desatualizado19/10/22, 01:07 UTC1/01/33, 02:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market will solve to YES if by Dec 2032, Google Search market share measured by GS Statscounter is lower than 60%.
- Market share as of Oct 2022:
- [image]I am increasingly surprised by AI advances that I think Google's moat could be under attack soon, either by startups or by Apple.
- The pace of copycats to breakthrough models like AlphaFold, GPT-3 and Dalle-2 makes me think people are overestimating how defensible is artificial inteligence breakthroughs.
- Creator policy: I won't bet.
