Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 88.9%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado16/08/26, 02:22 UTC1/10/26, 00:00 UTC
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PolymarketWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if, before 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC, Google publicly releases a model whose official Google-given name contains "Gemini 3.5 Pro", available to the general public — paid tiers and public previews both count — through at least one of: the Gemini app, Google AI Studio, or the Gemini API.
- Named oracle (in priority order): 1.
- Google's official model documentation at https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/models 2.
- Official Google announcement posts on https://blog.google/ or https://deepmind.google/ DOES count: a public preview / "experimental" tag, as long as any member of the public can access it (including behind a paid subscription).
- Does NOT count: - Internal-only, invitation-only, or trusted-tester access. - Benchmark appearances, leaks, model-string sightings, or press reports without a Google release. - A Pro-tier model shipped under a DIFFERENT name (e.g. "Gemini 3.6 Pro", "Gemini 3.7 Pro", "Gemini 4 Pro").
- This market is specifically about the "3.5 Pro" name.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Google release "Gemini 3.5 Pro" to the public before October 1, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Google release "Gemini 3.5 Pro" to the public before October 1, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Google release "Gemini 3.5 Pro" to the public before October 1, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will Google release "Gemini 3.5 Pro" to the public before October 1, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if, before 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC, Google publicly releases a model whose official Google-given name contains "Gemini 3.5 Pro", available to the general public — paid tiers and public previews both count — through at least one of: the Gemini app, Google AI Studio, or the Gemini API.