Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (97.9%)
Resolvido: 1 de out. de 2026, 00:07
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de out. de 2026, 05:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes2.1%
No97.9%
Ganhou
Perdeu
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Google release a model officially named "Gemini 4 Flash" by November 13, 2026?
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KalshiWill people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?
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Resolves YES if, before 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC, Google publicly releases a model whose official Google-given name contains "Gemini 3.5 Pro", available to the general public — paid tiers and public previews both count — through at least one of: the Gemini app, Google AI Studio, or the Gemini API.
- Named oracle (in priority order): 1.
- Google's official model documentation at https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/models 2.
- Official Google announcement posts on https://blog.google/ or https://deepmind.google/ DOES count: a public preview / "experimental" tag, as long as any member of the public can access it (including behind a paid subscription).
- Does NOT count: - Internal-only, invitation-only, or trusted-tester access. - Benchmark appearances, leaks, model-string sightings, or press reports without a Google release. - A Pro-tier model shipped under a DIFFERENT name (e.g. "Gemini 3.6 Pro", "Gemini 3.7 Pro", "Gemini 4 Pro").
- This market is specifically about the "3.5 Pro" name.