Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87.4%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado12/05/26, 19:32 UTC1/01/28, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
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This market resolves YES if Duolingo launches a public Toki Pona course on its app or website before 2028-01-01 00:00 UTC.
- A public beta or public preview counts if ordinary users can access the course without a private invite.
- A waitlist, incubator placeholder, job listing, blog post, social-media announcement, forum discussion, or third-party/non-Duolingo Toki Pona course does not count unless the Duolingo course itself becomes publicly accessible.
- A course under a translated or alternate title counts if Duolingo clearly presents it as Toki Pona.
- Resolution sources: Duolingo course directory/app, official Duolingo blog/social posts, and reliable coverage that points to an actual public course.
- Toki Pona is a constructed language; this market was created for soweliSon's conlang market bounty.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
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- € 622,7 mil
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- € 579,5 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
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- € 411,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 411,6 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if Duolingo launches a public Toki Pona course on its app or website before 2028-01-01 00:00 UTC.