Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91.4%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado18/05/26, 15:31 UTC31/12/34, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any individual delivers a speech at least partially in the Toki Pona language during an official United Nations session, assembly, or conference before January 1, 2035.
- For the purposes of this market, a "speech" is defined as a formal oral address delivered to a UN body.
- A part of the speech must be identifiable as Toki Pona by linguistics experts or through official UN transcripts/records.
- If no such speech occurs by the deadline, or if the language used is determined to be a different constructed language, the market resolves to NO.
- Toki Pona is a constructed language (conlang) created by Canadian linguist Sonja Lang, first published in 2001.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? é resolvido?
- before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2034.
- Como before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria