Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Completes full term 78.8%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
160
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado13/06/25, 17:31 UTC21/01/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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FutuurDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiRegras
the named outcome Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.
- Staying in office beyond January 20, 2029 for any reason will not count as completing a full term.
- the named outcome Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029 by resignation, impeachment, 25th Amendment process, legal action, incapacity, voluntary hand-over, exile, coup, or any other non-fatal removal, and remains alive.
- If Trump is still claiming presidential authority after Jan 20, 2029, thus not ‘completing’ his term, the market will resolve to this option.
- the named outcome
- Trump dies from disease, aging, or any internal medical cause while serving as President.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)??
- A Manifold Markets cota Completes full term em 79% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? é resolvido?
- Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: the named outcome Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.