Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

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A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 90% em 27 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? é resolvido?

Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2028.

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A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.0pt94%
• December 15,+9.5pt91%
• November 30,+29.0pt90%

+15 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 5,3 mi

Volume 24h

€ 316,7 mil

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+14.0pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+64.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.5pt29.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.8pt23.5%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.6pt16.7%

+7 mais resultados

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.6pt59.9%
• Gemini-1.6pt30.1%
• ChatGPT-0.3pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+5.0pt57.6%
• Google-3.0pt33.3%
• OpenAI+0.3pt6.1%

+12 mais resultados

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• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• In which month will Anthropic IPO?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?