Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90.5%
Previsores
28
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado17/05/22, 20:01 UTC1/01/00, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Teslas allow YouTube or karaoke on the main screen while driving by end 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Tetra read a book in Toki Pona by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat stories/media will have a counterfactually positive impact on me in the next month? (Read description)
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegras
This question is a proxy for "which is better, Comma.ai or Tesla?" or which one I'll prefer to get.
- If you're reading a book you're obviously not driving?
- What I mean is, what company will let me (safely, see next FAQ item) read a book while sitting in the driver's seat of a private car, being the sole human in charge of the car.
- Technically you can do this in a Yugo?
- It has to be safe to do! Hacking the self-driving tech to bypass the "is the driver watching the road" mechanism also doesn't count.
- So also legal, though if the law were to fall blatantly behind what's clearly safe, we can talk about that.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 622,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 579,5 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 411,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 411,6 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt33.3%
- 160-179+5.0pt28.6%
- 200-219-4.0pt15.2%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,2 mi
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt87.3%
- 65-89-10.0pt12.8%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 mais resultados
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Next James Bond actor?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Comma.ai let me read a book while driving before Tesla does??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Comma.ai let me read a book while driving before Tesla does? é resolvido?
- Will Comma.ai let me read a book while driving before Tesla does? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2100.
- Como Will Comma.ai let me read a book while driving before Tesla does? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question is a proxy for "which is better, Comma.ai or Tesla?" or which one I'll prefer to get.