Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80.9%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado10/11/23, 02:48 UTC1/01/30, 15:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolves YES if there is credible evidence that the PRC has deployed ground troops on Burmese territory.
- It could be with or without the permission of the junta or rebel forces.
- The only qualification is that military drills and exercises do not count, nor would small ceremonial attachments for, say, a state funeral.
- There is no requirement for Chinese forces to engage in combat.
- I will adjudicate this market and will not bet in it.
- The weight of evidence should be such that a reasonable person seems it more likely than not that China has deployed troops.
