Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.9%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
3/04/23, 21:35 UTC1/01/31, 12:00 UTC
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ForecastExRegras
Resolves to YES if any US state changes its name on or before 31 December 2030.
- A state changing its full name (like Rhode Island dropping "and the Providence Plantations") DOES count.
- New states joining do not automatically count, only if they subsequently change their name (e.g. if Washington D.C. joins as "Jefferson", that is not enough to resolve to YES).
- The name change does not need to go into force by the end of 2030, as long as it is fully approved (e.g. by a law or a ballot measure).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 94% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030? é resolvido?
- Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Will any US state change its name by the end of 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves to YES if any US state changes its name on or before 31 December 2030.