Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 63.9%
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Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado7/09/26, 01:20 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves yes if any us senate election in 2026 has a winning margin of 1.000% or less.
- If a senate goes to a runoff (eg.
- Georgia) resolves based on runoff only.
- First round ignored.
- In Alaska and Maine with ranked choice voting, resolves yes if the final round margin is 1.000% or less.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 64% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less? é resolvido?
- Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves yes if any us senate election in 2026 has a winning margin of 1.000% or less.