2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
One-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20268d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOhio 82%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado1/06/26, 08:48 UTC4/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Each answer the resolves independently from each other.
- Resolves YES for a state, if the party who wins that senate seat controls the 2026 US Senate.
- In the case of a 50-50 tie, this is a republican controlled senate, because of the vice president's tie breaking vote.
- Example: if democrats win Alaska while republicans win Texas, with the end result being a republican controlled senate, then Alaska resolves NO while Texas resolves YES.
- You may add new answers on this market, but do note that non competitive states are discouraged because they will just be equivalent to the default "which party wins senate control" market.
- Update 2026-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For independent candidates (e.g., Nebraska's Dan Osborn):
