Will any pandemic scientist experts besides Fauci go to prison before 2050?
PolíticaOne-OffSaúde e medicinaCrime e justiçaManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
3/10/26, 21:25 UTC31/12/49, 11:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Anthony Fauci go to prison before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu ever go to prison/jail? 🇮🇱👩⚖️🏛️
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth go to prison?
Manifold MarketsAnthony Fauci charged by December 31?
PolymarketPandemic in 2026?
KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2050, any scientist, epidemiologist, virologist, or scientific advisor who played a prominent role in the COVID-19 pandemic response, funding, or origins research (excluding Dr. Anthony Fauci) is sentenced to and serves time in a state, federal, or international prison.
- To ensure clear, objective resolution, the following specific individuals are explicitly pre-approved as qualifying "pandemic scientist experts" for the purposes of this market:
- Dr. David Morens (former Senior Advisor to the NIAID Director, who pleaded guilty to federal conspiracy in August 2026)
- Dr. Peter Daszak (president of EcoHealth Alliance)
- Dr. Francis Collins (former NIH Director)