Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Anthony Fauci go to prison before 2050??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 88.2% em 4 de novembro de 2026.

Quando Will Anthony Fauci go to prison before 2050? é resolvido?

Will Anthony Fauci go to prison before 2050? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2049.

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 88.2%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

3/10/26, 21:27 UTC31/12/49, 11:00 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Anthony Fauci begins serving a sentence in a federal, state, or local correctional facility (prison or jail) in the United States (or equivalent international facility) at any point prior to January 1, 2050.
This market will resolve to NO if January 1, 2050, is reached without Anthony Fauci having served such a sentence, or if he passes away before serving any such sentence.
House arrest, probation, civil confinement, pretrial detention (unless credited as time served for a final conviction and prison sentence), or brief arrests without a resulting prison sentence will not trigger a "YES" resolution.
Official court records or reporting from major, credible news organizations (such as Associated Press or Reuters) will be used to verify the outcome.
Dr. Anthony Fauci served as the Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) from 1984 to 2022 and was the chief medical advisor to the President during the COVID-19 pandemic.