Will any of CPUs/GPU created by hackerfab generate at least 10^18 operations of compute by EOY2028?
IAOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 61.7%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 horas
Desatualizado9/04/25, 14:55 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
The total number of computing operations performed by a CPU over its lifetime depends on several factors, such as its clock speed, the number of cycles per second, and the number of years the CPU is in use.
- Let’s break down how to estimate this number for a 2005 CPU.
- Assumptions:
- Clock speed: The typical clock speed for high-end CPUs in 2005 was around 2–3 GHz (2–3 billion cycles per second).
- Let’s assume a clock speed of 2.5 GHz.
- Operations per cycle: Modern CPUs can perform multiple operations per clock cycle, depending on the architecture and workload.
