Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027?
EuropeOne-OffTecnologiaRegulamentação1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 61.5%
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado23/02/26, 02:14 UTC1/01/28, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if any country (population >1 million) enacts legislation that explicitly taxes the use of robots, AI systems, or automation equipment, or imposes a dedicated levy on firms that automate jobs, by December 31, 2027.
- What counts: A tax specifically targeting automation/AI/robots — not general capital gains taxes, corporate taxes, or investment tax credit changes.
- South Korea's 2017 reduction of automation investment tax credits would NOT count as it was a credit reduction, not a dedicated tax.
- What doesn't count: Proposals, bills that don't pass, or taxes on AI companies (as opposed to taxes on the act of automating).
- Baseline: As of February 2026, no country has enacted a dedicated robot/automation tax.
- The EU rejected a robot tax proposal in 2017.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 62% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027? é resolvido?
- Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Will any country enact a robot or automation tax by the end of 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if any country (population >1 million) enacts legislation that explicitly taxes the use of robots, AI systems, or automation equipment, or imposes a dedicated levy on firms that automate jobs, by December 31, 2027.