PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 72%-12.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
53 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
320,4 €
Liquidez
320,5 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
26.0% / 30.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
3
Variação 7d
+13.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
26/06/26, 17:19 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWill Angela Rayner be Prime Minister of the UK before December?
Manifold MarketsWill the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsFree & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed.
- Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count.
- Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Mercados abertos
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 494,6 mil
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 809,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 123,4 mil
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 mais resultados
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota No em 72% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? é resolvido?
- Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.