Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (99%)
Resolvido: 11 de out. de 2026, 22:46
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 12 de out. de 2026, 12:02 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes1%
No99%
Ganhou
Perdeu
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LimitlessWhat will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves YES if Anthropic officially releases a new Claude Fable model (newer than Fable 5.1) before October 12, 2026.
- The model must be available to general users through an official channel (Claude apps, API, or cloud partners).
- Releases limited to selected partners or testers do not count.
- Any version number counts (5.2, 5.5, 6, etc.).
- Rumors, leaks, and hidden-routing reports do not count.
