Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 23:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 71%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado3/10/25, 20:17 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves to YES if I lose a game of chess against an LLM by December 31, 2027 (inclusive).
- Only games played with standard chess rules count (not 960, crazyhouse, etc.).
- If the LLM makes an illegal move, it loses automatically.
- The LLM must not have any outside assistance.
- Only games where I am seriously trying to win count, though it would count if I lose due to playing too fast, not paying attention, etc. I won't bet in this market.
- I'm a National Master (~2000 FIDE).
