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Any model announced before 2034 86.6%Líder entre 51 opções
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 9 minutos
1/01/25, 23:47 UTC1/01/01, 07:59 UTC
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Which of these models will beat me at chess once released? Resolves YES if they win, NO if I win, and 50% for a draw.
- I'm rated about 1900 FIDE.
- When each of these models are released, I'll play a game of chess with them.
- On each move, I'll provide them with the game state in PGN and FEN notation.
- If the models make three illegal moves, they lose.
- Responses like Nbd2 vs. Nd2 will not count towards this.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess??
- A Manifold Markets cota Any model announced before 2034 em 87% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess? é resolvido?
- Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2101.
- Como Which of these Language Models will beat me at chess? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Which of these models will beat me at chess once released? Resolves YES if they win, NO if I win, and 50% for a draw.