Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 78.4%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado22/04/26, 19:20 UTC31/12/27, 20:08 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Will a robot beat an Olympic table tennis gold medalist before 2029?
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any time before January 1, 2028, an autonomous robot defeats an active (non-retired) athlete who has won an Olympic gold medal in table tennis in a standard match, or if a robot is officially recognized as having beaten an Olympic champion in a documented, competitive table tennis match.
- The match must be played under International Table Tennis Federation (ITTF) rules or similar professional standards.
- A "robot" is defined as a machine utilizing artificial intelligence to autonomously control paddle movement and ball tracking in real-time, without human remote operation.
- Table tennis is a high-speed sport requiring extreme precision, rapid reaction times, and tactical adaptation, making it a benchmark challenge for robotics and AI.
- While robotic systems have been developed to play table tennis, they have historically struggled against elite human players due to the speed and spin complexities inherent in professional play.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 78% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028? é resolvido?
- Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria