Previsão da comunidade atual
2025-2030 98.6%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado13/03/24, 04:13 UTC2/01/60, 02:59 UTC
Tendências
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a robot beat an Olympic table tennis gold medalist before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiMLS Cup Champion
GeminiTop Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
KalshiRegras
Market will resolve...
- YES if a robot with the characteristics given below defeats the current olympic champion at their sport within the detailed time intervals.
- NO if humans are still undefeated within the given time intervals.
- OTHER if an unexpected situation happens.
- The idea is for the robot to be physically similar to a human so the competition is fair.
- It must abide to the following limitations (which I'm open to changing, if given a good reason), as to make the competition fair.
Mercados abertos
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Volume total
- € 12,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 11,2 mi
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 24 mi
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,9 mi
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 24,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,9 mi
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Volume total
- € 2,1 mi
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2025-2030 em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport? é resolvido?
- In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2060.
- Como In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Market will resolve...