Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 68.2% em 26 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030? é resolvido?

Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.

Como Will an AI system be credited as the lead author of a paper in Nature or Science before 1 January 2030? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if, before 1 January 2030, a paper published in Nature or Science lists an AI system (not a person) as first or lead author, or the journal's editorial note describes the AI as the paper's primary author.

Use este mercado em código ou em um agente de IA

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+22.0pt95%
• December 15,+22.0pt94%
• November 30,+38.5pt90%

+9 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 5,2 mi

Volume 24h

€ 325,3 mil

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+19.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+4.0pt31.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T+2.7pt23.3%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.8pt16.5%

+7 mais resultados

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-2.1pt56.4%
• Gemini-1.4pt32.8%
• ChatGPT-0.6pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-0.7pt89.5%
• Anthropic-0.9pt8.4%
• Meta+0.1pt1.1%

+18 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31+4.2pt98%
• October 30+15.0pt45%
• October 31+15.7pt45%

+17 mais resultados

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