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Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado26/08/25, 20:371/01/29, 23:59
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2029 version of https://manifold.markets/AdamK/will-an-ai-minecraft-agent-defeat-t-a3b3eb99c337
- In line with progress in AI Minecraft (https://voyager.minedojo.org/), will there be a public announcement of a fully autonomous AI system which can defeat the Ender Dragon before Jan 1, 2029? To establish an objective baseline of competence and consistency in achieving this task, I'll stipulate that such a system must beat the Ender Dragon in less than 150 minutes of in-game time (deaths allowed) in at least 1% of runs.
- Systems which are pretrained on human data are allowed.
- The system must only use observational data that includes what a human player would be able to see while playing the game (including the debug screen), like the Minedojo simulator.
- Systems which have active access to external reference information (like a Wiki) are fine, as long as it does not include additional information on the specific world that the agent is playing in.
- 2026 Version: https://manifold.markets/AdamK/will-an-ai-minecraft-agent-defeat-t-CPpOcyROzc
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 82% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029? é resolvido?
- Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: 2029 version of https://manifold.markets/AdamK/will-an-ai-minecraft-agent-defeat-t-a3b3eb99c337