Will an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026?
PolíticaRegulamentaçãoIAOne-OffPolítica dos EUA2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90%
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5
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Atualizado há 10 minutos
24/07/26, 20:57 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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This will resolve by the same criteria as Polymarket, judged independently by me: Which bills will become law in 2026?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 6875 (119th) — “AI OVERWATCH Act.”
- [link preview]
