Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffRegulamentaçãoTecnologia2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 65%
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado24/07/26, 20:58 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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This will resolve by the same criteria as Polymarket, judged independently by me: Which bills will become law in 2026?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would require location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 3447 (119th) — “Chip Security Act.”
- [link preview]
