Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (97.1%)
Resolvido: 31 de out. de 2026, 01:17
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
No
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
97%
ConsensoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 30 de out. de 2026, 10:37 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes2.9%
No97.1%
Ganhou
Perdeu
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Resolves YES if Alibaba/Qwen publicly releases any model officially named Qwen 4 (e.g. Qwen4-Max, Qwen4-Plus, Qwen4-Flash, Qwen4-27B) before 00:00 CET on October 30, 2026 (23:00 UTC Oct 29).
- “Released” means anyone can actually use it, through one of these:
- Open weights on the official Qwen Hugging Face or ModelScope page
- Public API access on Alibaba Cloud / Qwen API
- Availability in Qwen Chat
- Resolves NO otherwise.