Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 81.8%
Previsores
1
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado16/09/26, 05:59 UTC31/12/99, 11:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Chatgpt-type Chatbots become permanent part of our daily lives before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Chatgpt-type chatbots become permanent in our lives permanently before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Chatgpt-type chatbots become extinct before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill AI Chatbots become extinct in 9999?
Manifold MarketsWill Daylight Saving Time become permanent?
KalshiWill Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before December 31, 2099, a reputable global statistical, polling, or research organization (such as the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), Pew Research Center, Gallup, or GSMA) publishes a report indicating that:
- Daily Usage: At least 70% of the global population (or 85% of the population in major developed markets like the US or EU) uses conversational AI chatbots or assistants on a daily basis.
- Ubiquitous Integration: Generative conversational AI assistants are natively integrated into the standard global mobile operating systems (such as iOS, Android, or their direct successors) and are utilized daily by at least 80% of active internet users globally.
- If no such threshold has been verified and officially reported by December 31, 2099, the market will resolve to NO.
- Key Clarifications: