Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 20:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 94%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado17/06/26, 00:31 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
KalshiWill JD Vance be charged with a crime by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Emad Mostaque (founder of Stability AI) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Drake be formally charged with a crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Biden be indicted or charged with a crime before 2028 (in the US or any US jurisdiction)?
Manifold MarketsWho will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves according to: Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
- The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient.
- Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself.