Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94.7%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado17/06/26, 00:31 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves according to: Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
- The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient.
- Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
AI
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- December 15,86%
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? [Polymarket]?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? [Polymarket] é resolvido?
- Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? [Polymarket] deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? [Polymarket] é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves according to: Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
- Onde mais Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? [Polymarket] está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.