Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026?
IAOne-OffTecnologiaEntretenimento2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 58.7%
Previsores
29
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado7/04/24, 16:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a video game involving LLM dialogue be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill GTA 6 become the top selling game of all time?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiWill a major video game released in 2026 have NPC dialogue generated on-the-fly by a Large Language Model?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves YES if some video-game that released this year or later gets into the top 10 in the List of best-selling video games, according to Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games.
- Must be top 10 at any time before market close (EOY 2026).
- @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-be021261544d
- @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-0d580bfd0bb9 (This one) @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-c53f4ba5e055
- @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20@/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-involving-llm-dia
