Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 79.2% em 27 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040? é resolvido?

Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2040.

Como Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves yes if, in my judgement, that’s the reason for the award, even if those exact terms don’t appear in the official announcement.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+7.7pt97%
• Anthropic-6.0pt3%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 3,4 mi

Volume 24h

€ 151,8 mil

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.3pt59.6%
• Gemini-0.2pt30.1%
• ChatGPT+0.8pt

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic-2.0pt56.6%
• Google+2.0pt35.4%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.1%

+12 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.9pt95%
• December 15,+1.5pt93%
• November 25,+6.0pt88%

+15 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-1.5pt27.2%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.7pt24.3%
• $1.5–$1.75T+1.1pt17.5%

+7 mais resultados

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• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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