Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 79.9%
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13
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado23/10/25, 11:38 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
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- Volume 24h
- € 160,5 mil
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a major AI lab enter the aerospace industry by EOY 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a major AI lab enter the aerospace industry by EOY 2026? é resolvido?
- Will a major AI lab enter the aerospace industry by EOY 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will a major AI lab enter the aerospace industry by EOY 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: OpenAI partnering with SpaceX to help design rockets