Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 85.1%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado23/10/25, 11:38 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?
Manifold MarketsMajor AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic will stop investing in MCP in 2026
Manifold MarketsUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill a G7 data authority fine a major AI agent provider over $100M for autonomous agent privacy violations
Manifold MarketsSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketRegras
OpenAI partnering with SpaceX to help design rockets
- GDM announces that it is working on designing rockets
