Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027?
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Desatualizado6/08/26, 08:03 UTC31/03/27, 23:59 UTC
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tess (@xsphi) on Twitter asks:
- odds a ~frontier model has exfiltrated its weights and is currently running on hacked compute?
- https://x.com/i/status/2085216850464641413
- This seems like a straightforward enough question to run on Manifold.
- As background there have now been four notable incidents where frontier models went rogue during cybersecurity evals and hacked into unintended targets.
- Three of these incidents involved the sandboxing eval company Irregular failing to sandbox the model properly, however a fourth incident involving the UK AI Security Institute does not seem to involve Irregular.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027? é resolvido?
- Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de março de 2027.
- Como Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: tess (@xsphi) on Twitter asks: