Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopolítica13aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 77.9%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado4/07/23, 08:28 UTC1/01/40, 15:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a crossing between Sumatra and Java have started construction by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill a crossing of the Qiongzhou Strait, between Mainland China and Hainan, have started construction by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill a crossing between Singapore and Riau Islands in Indonesia have started construction by 2035?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?
PolymarketRegras
Such a crossing would link the Horn of Africa with the Arabian Peninsula
- Could be a bridge, a tunnel or even a 'submerged floating tunnel'.
- Resolves on undisputed media reporting
Mercados abertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 107,6 mil
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 104,5 mil
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 78% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040? é resolvido?
- Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2040.
- Como Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Such a crossing would link the Horn of Africa with the Arabian Peninsula