Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualCaroline Menjivar (incumbent) 96.9%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado2/07/25, 15:34 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who officially wins the 2026 election for California's 20th State Senate district.
- The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
- (en.wikipedia.org)
- The 20th State Senate district encompasses most of the San Fernando Valley section of northern Los Angeles, including Burbank, Van Nuys, Reseda, Canoga Park, Tujunga, Sun Valley, Shadow Hills, Lake View Terrace, Arleta, Panorama City, Pacoima, Mission Hills, San Fernando, and Sylmar.
- Caroline Menjivar, the incumbent senator, was elected in 2022 and is eligible to run for re-election in 2026.
