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  3. Who will win the 2026 election for California's 40th State Senate district
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 40th State Senate district

PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoWeather6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
Kristie Bruce-Lane 30.4%
Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores

4

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 dias

Desatualizado
2/07/25, 15:3131/12/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Kristie Bruce-Lane30%

Regras

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 40th State Senate district.
  • The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
  • (en.wikipedia.org)
  • The 40th State Senate district encompasses parts of inland San Diego County, including cities such as San Marcos, Escondido, Poway, Santee, and various unincorporated communities.
  • The seat is currently held by Republican Brian Jones, who will be termed out in 2026.

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Regras

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 40th State Senate district.
  • The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
  • (en.wikipedia.org)
  • The 40th State Senate district encompasses parts of inland San Diego County, including cities such as San Marcos, Escondido, Poway, Santee, and various unincorporated communities.
  • The seat is currently held by Republican Brian Jones, who will be termed out in 2026.