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  3. Who will win the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate district
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate district

PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
Roger Niello (incumbent) 72.3%
Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores

4

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado anteontem

Desatualizado
2/07/25, 15:3731/12/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Roger Niello (incumbent)72%

Regras

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who officially wins the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate District.
  • The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
  • (ballotpedia.org)
  • California's 6th State Senate District encompasses parts of Sacramento and Placer counties, including cities such as Lincoln, Rocklin, Roseville, and Folsom.
  • The district has a nearly equal split between registered Democrats (35.6%) and Republicans (35.8%), with 20.4% of voters having no party preference.

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Regras

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who officially wins the 2026 election for California's 6th State Senate District.
  • The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
  • (ballotpedia.org)
  • California's 6th State Senate District encompasses parts of Sacramento and Placer counties, including cities such as Lincoln, Rocklin, Roseville, and Folsom.
  • The district has a nearly equal split between registered Democrats (35.6%) and Republicans (35.8%), with 20.4% of voters having no party preference.