Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 18 de jul. de 2026, 00:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Previsão da comunidade atualRepublicans 55%+2.1ptLíder entre 3 opções
Previsores
62
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 dias
Desatualizado7/01/26, 16:2431/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Democrats45%
Comparar plataformas· Republicans
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 55% | — | — | — | há 9 dias | |
 PredictIt84% de correspondência · verificado | — | 61% | — | — | — | há 30 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em PredictIt
Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 election?
6m
61%
39%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegras
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S.
- Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$2110 de jul.5d de dados18 de jul.
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S.
- Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.