Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDemocrats 56%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
74
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+6.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado7/01/26, 16:24 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
Manifold MarketsWhich party will control the Senate after the midterm elections?
SmarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S. Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.
- Resolution will be based on official election results certified by state authorities and reported by major news outlets (AP, Reuters, etc.).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 193,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 710,8 mil
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 584,6 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume total
- € 29,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 407,5 mil
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 14,9 mi
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms??
- A Manifold Markets cota Democrats em 56% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? é resolvido?
- Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria
- Onde mais Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em PredictIt.