Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNigel Farage 63%Líder entre 8 opções
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18
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
0.0 pts
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Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado5/05/25, 00:29 UTC2/01/29, 01:28 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?
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KalshiRegras
Resolves at the leader of Reform UK.
- If Reform UK has changed its name but is still the same party, resolves at the leader of that party.
- If Reform UK no longer exists as a separate political party, resolves "Nobody".