Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOther 27.5%Líder entre 10 opções
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15
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado11/03/25, 19:38 UTC1/01/40, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Reform UK is a right-wing political party in the United Kingdom.
- Founded as the Brexit Party in 2018, its current leader is Nigel Farage, who was previously the leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP).
- At the 2024 UK general election, the party won 5 out of 650 constituencies in the House of Commons.
- This market resolves to the next permanent leader of the party, following Nigel Farage.
- Interim leaders do not count.
- This market will not resolve to Farage, even if he is replaced by an interim leader and then comes back as a permanent leader.
