Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
16.5 pts (24h)Health & MedicineOne-OffGeopolíticaCiência1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAny EU country 100%Líder entre 12 opções
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-16.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
19/05/26, 09:46 UTC30/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
100%
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KalshiWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
KalshiRegras
Outbreak currently in DR Congo and Uganda.
- States resolve YES when their health authorities or WHO reports a local case and resolve NO when the outbreak is declared over by WHO / Africa CDC.
- People who are transferred with a suspected or confirmed infection for treatment to another state under medical supervision are excluded (e.g. western states repatriating their infected citizens does not resolve, a person travelling who is already infected but without being already suspected and is diagnosed in their destination does resolve)
- Cases confirmed to be from a different outbreak do not count.
- Some background: https://www.science.org/content/article/scientists-play-catch-startling-ebola-outbreak
Mercados abertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 30,4 mil
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 652,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,5 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,9 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 865,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,7 mil
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- € 915,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak?
- A Manifold Markets cota Any EU country em 100% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak é resolvido?
- Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak deverá ser resolvido em 30 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Outbreak currently in DR Congo and Uganda.