Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Saúde e medicinaOne-OffGeopolíticaCiência6m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAny EU country 100%Líder entre 12 opções
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado19/05/26, 09:46 UTC29/04/27, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many confirmed Ebola (Bundibugyo virus disease) cases will be reported in the DRC by 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a cure for autism before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill the human civilization collapse before we become multi planetary species?
Manifold MarketsDid COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsWill the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Outbreak currently in DR Congo and Uganda.
- States resolve YES when their health authorities or WHO reports a local case and resolve NO when the outbreak is declared over by WHO / Africa CDC.
- People who are transferred with a suspected or confirmed infection for treatment to another state under medical supervision are excluded (e.g. western states repatriating their infected citizens does not resolve, a person travelling who is already infected but without being already suspected and is diagnosed in their destination does resolve)
- Cases confirmed to be from a different outbreak do not count.
- Close date will be extended, until the outbreak is declared over.
- Some background: https://www.science.org/content/article/scientists-play-catch-startling-ebola-outbreak
