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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado25/07/25, 16:22 UTC29/11/30, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
"Mid-decade redistricting" refers here to any change in US House district boundaries not conducted as part of the regular once-a-decade redistricting process that occurred in 2020.
- This includes court-mandated redistricting and other changes to district borders, not exclusively partisan gerrymandering.
- This does not include any mid-decade redistricting that has already taken place as of 7/25/25.
- This only includes redistricting efforts that are completed prior to the 2030 once-a-decade redistricting process.
- Update 2025-11-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A state will only count as having enacted mid-decade redistricting if an election is actually conducted under the new maps.
- The creator will refrain from resolving any states until after the midterms to ensure this criterion is met.