Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Children of Blood and Bone 100%Líder entre 39 opções
Previsores
38
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado6/01/24, 03:08 UTC1/01/30, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What Video Games or Video Game World will be Adapted into a TV series or Movie by 2040? (ADD ANSWERS)
Manifold MarketsWill a new live-action Stargate movie/TV-series start filming before Stargate invests $500B in AI?
Manifold MarketsTilda Swinton plays Voldemort in the TV series?
Manifold MarketsThe Folk of the Air TV Series: Cast
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegras
The criteria here are somewhat subjective - I will make the final determination so I will not bet.
- Some important considerations will be:
- Does the movie/series have the same title as the book or the series of books to which the book belongs?
- Are most of the major characters named the same?
- Is the plot roughly the same?
- Sometimes plots are changed / characters are combined in the adaptation process, but that alone isn't enough to make something "not an adaption"
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- € 224,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 160,5 mil
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 344,9 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s??
- A Manifold Markets cota Children of Blood and Bone em 100% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s? é resolvido?
- Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The criteria here are somewhat subjective - I will make the final determination so I will not bet.