Which regimes will survive until 2028?
PolíticaOne-OffGeopolíticaOriente MédioRússia / UcrâniaChinaAmérica LatinaEleição1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Russia 90.6%Líder entre 7 opções
Russia 90.6%Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado10/12/24, 16:45 UTC2/01/28, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Each answer resolves YES if the current ruling regime is not overthrown, dissolved, or ended (as determined by reputable news sources and Western government reports) by Jan 1, 2028.
- Some examples:
- If the current leader dies or ceases to be the leader, but the same party/group remains in power through 2028, this would resolve YES
- A military coup against any of the regimes (even if done by high ranking members of the current regime) resolves NO
- A democratic election in any regime in which the ruling party/leader wins does not resolve NO, but if an opposition party or leader wins, it would resolve NO
- If the regime loses power and then regains it, that still resolves NO
