Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Hawaii's 1st District?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202615d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDemocratic Party — Ed Case 97.9%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado6/10/26, 05:45 UTC4/11/26, 12:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Ed Case win the Hawaii 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Hawaii's 2nd District?
Manifold MarketsHawaii's 1st District margin of victory
KalshiWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Illinois's 1st District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in South Carolina's 1st District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Connecticut's 1st District?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Hawaii's 1st congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
