Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...)
IAOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualClaude Saga 18.8%Líder entre 18 opções
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multiple choice
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Atualizado há 22 horas
Desatualizado14/06/26, 02:36 UTC31/12/29, 15:59 UTC
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Anthropic names Claude model tiers with single words: poetic forms first (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus), then narrative/myth forms (Fable, Mythos).
- This market tracks which new words join that series.
- Each answer is a candidate in the form "Claude [Word]".
- Add your own.
- Answers are independent, so more than one can resolve YES.
- An answer resolves YES when its word first appears as an official Claude tier or family name in any of: the Anthropic model docs (docs.claude.com), an anthropic.com blog or launch post, or a live API model string.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- € 241,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 128 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 mais resultados
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
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- € 349,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...)?
- A Manifold Markets cota Claude Saga em 19% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...) é resolvido?
- Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...) deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Anthropic names Claude model tiers with single words: poetic forms first (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus), then narrative/myth forms (Fable, Mythos).