Which lab will have the #1 model on Epoch AI's Capabilities Index (ECI) on November 6, 2026?
IAOne-OffTecnologia16d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAnthropic 83.4%Líder entre 5 opções
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado7/10/26, 19:48 UTC7/11/26, 06:59 UTC
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Which AI lab will own the top-scoring model on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) at the end of November 6, 2026 (US Eastern)?
- Resolution source: the ECI leaderboard at https://epoch.ai/eci (Epoch AI).
- I will read it on or shortly after the evening of Nov 6, 2026 and resolve to the lab that developed the model with the highest ECI score shown.
- If Epoch's data had already updated past Nov 6 when I check, I will use the Internet Archive snapshot closest to Nov 6 23:59 ET, or Epoch's published data file for that date.
- The model's developer decides the answer (e.g. Claude → Anthropic, GPT → OpenAI, Gemini → the named outcome, Grok → xAI).
- Anything else → Other.
