Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Google (98.3%)
Resolvido: 2 de out. de 2026, 01:08
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 2 de out. de 2026, 12:34 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Anthropic0.4%
OpenAI0.4%
Google98.3%
SpaceXAI0.4%
Others0.4%
Ganhou
Perdeu
Perdeu
Perdeu
Perdeu
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PolymarketThird-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketWhich Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- Source of Truth: This market will resolve based on the official "Text Arena - Overall" leaderboard standings of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena, hosted at Hugging Face Chatbot Arena or Arena AI.
- Timing: The standings will be evaluated based on the leaderboard state on October 1, 2026.
- If the live site is down, the most recent update or snapshot around that date will be used.
- Winning Lab: Resolution is determined by the organization/developer of the model ranked #1 overall.
- Ties: In the event of an exact tie in Elo score at the #1 spot, the model listed first (occupying the top row) in the default leaderboard view will determine the winning lab.
