Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualCuba 21.6%Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado28/02/26, 15:13 UTC31/12/29, 15:01 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Following the US-Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, this market asks: which sovereign nation will the United States next conduct a kinetic military attack against?
- This market resolves when the US conducts a kinetic military operation against a new country not currently under active US attack.
- Iran is excluded as prior a event.
- The operation must take place before 2029-12-31.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to the first country against which the US conducts a qualifying military attack after February 28, 2026.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which country will the US strike next??
- A Manifold Markets cota Cuba em 21.6% em 23 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which country will the US strike next? é resolvido?
- Which country will the US strike next? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Which country will the US strike next? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Following the US-Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, this market asks: which sovereign nation will the United States next conduct a kinetic military attack against?