Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Anthropic (99%)
Resolvido: 1 de jul. de 2026, 00:05
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Proveniência da liquidação
- Resultado vigente
- Anthropic
- Registado
- 25 de jul. de 2026, 08:31
- Observações
- 1
- Revisões
- 0
- Método
- resolution_watch
Previsão da comunidade atualAnthropic 99%+10.2ptLíder entre 8 opções
Previsores
39
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 dias
Desatualizado4/02/26, 19:2130/06/26, 23:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Google4.5%
OpenAI6.3%
xAI0.6%
Anthropic99%
Meta0.5%
Alibaba0.2%
DeepSeek0.3%
Other0.2%
99%
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· Anthropic
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h
Também disponível em Polymarket
Which company has best AI model end of June?
0.5 ptsFechados
Resolvido
Anthropic (100%)
+0.5pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+16 mais resultados
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread apertadoBaixa liquidez
Volume total19,6 M €
Volume 24h5,6 mil €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Polymarket
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
0.1 ptsFechados
Resolvido
Anthropic (100%)
+77.0pt100%
-0.6pt0%
-0.1pt0%
+8 mais resultados
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread apertadoBaixa liquidez
Volume total1,5 M €
Volume 24h5,6 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg